BTC Until I Die

Each click generates a completely new set of yearly growth rates using a statistical model grounded in Bitcoin's real history. Here's what's under the hood:

Decaying gains — Bitcoin's early years saw explosive returns (+5,000%, +1,300%), but as any asset matures, growth compresses. The model starts with an average return of ~30% in the early years and gradually tapers it to ~8% by year 30. This reflects the widely held view that Bitcoin's future gains will be meaningful but more modest than its past.

4-year halving cycle — Bitcoin's supply is cut in half roughly every four years (2024, 2028, 2032...). Historically, the year after a halving is the biggest boom, followed by a sharp correction, then recovery. The model mirrors this cycle: post-halving years get a boost, the year after tends to be a bear market, and the remaining years are moderate.

Realistic volatility — each year's return is drawn from a normal distribution, so you get genuine randomness. Early years can swing from -65% to +150%; later years tighten to roughly -20% to +40%. This mimics how volatility typically decreases as an asset class matures and liquidity deepens.

Every click is different — hit it multiple times to stress-test your plan under wildly different scenarios. Some runs will be kind, others brutal. That's the point: if your plan survives the bad rolls, you're in good shape.